PGA Awards predictions: Our official odds in 10 film and TV categories

David Buchanan
·4 min read
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Christopher Nolan‘s “Oppenheimer” will notch another incredibly important precursor win on its path to the Oscars at the upcoming 35th Producers Guild of America Awards on Sunday, Feb. 25. According to our official odds, the blockbuster film will take home the honor of Best Picture. The ceremony includes other film categories such as animated and documentary feature and television trophies for drama, comedy, limited series and more. Scroll down for our official PGA Awards odds in 10 categories with our winner predictions highlighted in gold.

A victory for “Oppenheimer” here would be significant because, more often than not, the winner at PGA goes on to win Best Picture at the Academy Awards. Since 2000, the two prizes have gone hand-in-hand 16 times. The exceptions are film years 2001 (when PGA opted for “Moulin Rouge!” and the Oscars awarded “A Beautiful Mind”), 2004 (“The Aviator” / “Million Dollar Baby”), 2005 (“Brokeback Mountain” / “Crash”), 2006 (“Little Miss Sunshine” / “The Departed”), 2015 (“The Big Short” / “Spotlight”), 2016 (“La La Land” / “Moonlight”) and 2019 (“1917” / “Parasite”). Our prognosticators think “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” will win for Animated Feature and “20 Days in Mariupol” for Documentary Feature.

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Television series “Succession,” “The Bear” and “Beef” will continue to trounce all other contenders with anticipated victories at this ceremony. This will be “Succession’s” third PGA victory, having previously won for seasons two and three; it was not nominated for its first. The win for “The Bear” will be its second, having previously been honored just last year for its first season. Other past winners our users are predicting to triumph again are “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” and “RuPaul’s Drag Race.”

These official odds for the PGA Awards are derived from the predictions of our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, All-Star Top 24 and all our Users, who make up the largest and often savviest bloc of predictors. See below for our complete official odds in 10 film and television categories, and make or update your predictions by Feb. 25 before the ceremony begins.

FILM

BEST PICTURE
Oppenheimer — 6/1
Barbie — 15/2
The Holdovers — 8/1
Poor Things — 17/2
Killers of the Flower Moon — 17/2
American Fiction — 9/1
Anatomy of a Fall — 10/1
Past Lives — 23/2
Maestro — 13/1
The Zone of Interest — 14/1

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse — 16/5
The Boy and the Heron — 37/10
Elemental — 9/2
The Super Mario Bros. Movie — 9/2
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem — 9/2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
20 Days in Mariupol — 5/1
American Symphony — 11/2
Beyond Utopia — 6/1
The Mother of All Lies — 13/2
The Disappearance of Shere Hite — 13/2
Smoke Sauna Sisterhood — 7/1
Squaring the Circle — 7/1

TV

BEST TV DRAMA SERIES
Succession — 3/1
The Last of Us — 39/10
The Crown — 9/2
The Morning Show — 9/2
The Diplomat — 9/2

BEST TV COMEDY SERIES
The Bear — 3/1
Ted Lasso — 4/1
Jury Duty — 9/2
Barry — 9/2
Only Murders in the Building — 9/2

BEST TV LIMITED SERIES
Beef — 3/1
Fargo — 4/1
Daisy Jones & The Six — 9/2
Lessons in Chemistry — 9/2
All the Light We Cannot See — 9/2

BEST TV MOVIE
Reality — 18/5
Mr. Monk’s Last Case — 37/10
Black Mirror — 4/1
Quiz Lady — 9/2
Red, White and Royal Blue — 9/2

BEST TV VARIETY PROGRAM
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver — 16/5
Carol Burnett: 90 Years of Laughter + Love — 19/5
Saturday Night Live — 4/1
Chris Rock: Selective Outrage — 9/2
Dave Chappelle: The Dreamer — 9/2

BEST TV REALITY SERIES
RuPaul’s Drag Race — 16/5
Squid Game: The Challenge — 19/5
Top Chef — 9/2
The Amazing Race — 9/2
The Voice — 9/2

BEST NON-FICTION SERIES
The 1619 Project — 17/5
Welcome to Wrexham — 19/5
Albert Brooks: Defending My Life — 4/1
60 Minutes — 9/2
Being Mary Tyler Moore — 9/2

PREDICT the 2024 PGA Awards through February 25

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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